Anticipating the evolving space transition through a historically grounded framework
Title (eng)
Anticipating the evolving space transition through a historically grounded framework
Author
Boris Stamenov
Description (eng)
The last two decades have been largely defined by the Digital and Sutainability transitions.
However, the previously overlooked but increasingly prevalent Space transition may have an
even greater transformative impact that must be carefully planned using experience. This
experience will be gathered and applied through a summary of historical context and
developments as it relates to Global Trade and European colonialism, as well as the context of
the modern socio-economic and geopolitical environment.
A comparative study in the form of a Future Scenario Analysis of both topics drew multiple
parallels between european colonialism and the contemporary circumstances regrding the space
transition. Key findings include:
- Deglobalization will likely continue in the next 10 years, setting up an an international
environment similar to European Mercantilism during the colonial period
- The next 10 years of space development, strongly driven by mineral extraction, closely
resembles Spanish colonial operations.
- This has both globalizing and deglobalizing effects, mainly the latter
- The following 10 years of space development more closely resembles the more diverse,
British model of colonial operations
- Uncertain outcome of counteracting globalizing and degloblizing trends
- Major socio-economic and technological transitions likely to follow, particularly after the
first 10 years of future space development
There are many broader policy concerns and questions regarding responsible space transition
which would be prudent to research further
Keywords (eng)
Comparative StudyMercantilismDe/GlobalizationSpace TransitionScenario Analysis
Type (eng)
Language
[eng]
Persistent identifier
Date created
2024
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https://door.donau-uni.ac.at/o:5251 - Content
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- DetailsUploaderResource typeText (PDF)Formatapplication/pdfapplication/pdfCreated21.02.2025 12:34:22 UTC
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