University for Continuing Education Krems Anticipating the evolving space transition through a historically grounded framework The last two decades have been largely defined by the Digital and Sutainability transitions. However, the previously overlooked but increasingly prevalent Space transition may have an even greater transformative impact that must be carefully planned using experience. This experience will be gathered and applied through a summary of historical context and developments as it relates to Global Trade and European colonialism, as well as the context of the modern socio-economic and geopolitical environment. A comparative study in the form of a Future Scenario Analysis of both topics drew multiple parallels between european colonialism and the contemporary circumstances regrding the space transition. Key findings include: - Deglobalization will likely continue in the next 10 years, setting up an an international environment similar to European Mercantilism during the colonial period - The next 10 years of space development, strongly driven by mineral extraction, closely resembles Spanish colonial operations. - This has both globalizing and deglobalizing effects, mainly the latter - The following 10 years of space development more closely resembles the more diverse, British model of colonial operations - Uncertain outcome of counteracting globalizing and degloblizing trends - Major socio-economic and technological transitions likely to follow, particularly after the first 10 years of future space development There are many broader policy concerns and questions regarding responsible space transition which would be prudent to research further en TEXT Master theses Masterarbeit Text Masterarbeit Text Master theses Comparative Study Mercantilism De/Globalization Space Transition Scenario Analysis 2024 2024 Boris Stamenov Ilja Steffelbauer Katarzyna Mraczek-Dobrowska